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Taghavi: Iran Bank Melli Fund May Get Boost


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Taghavi: Iran Bank Melli Fund May Get Boost



26 Feb 2009 10:14 IST

Iran Bank Melli Fund May Get Boost From Better US-Iran Ties

By Roshanak Taghavi Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

TEHRAN (Dow Jones)--Mehr Cayman, an affiliate of Iran's state-run BankMelli, plans to raise more money for an investment fund that targetsIranian stocks if relations between Tehran and Washington improve afterIran's June 12 presidential elections, its managing director said.

"It's a contingent plan," Stephen Austen, who owns 50% of Mehr Cayman andcontrols the First Persia Equity Fund, told Dow Jones Newswires in arecent interview in Tehran.

The First Persia Equity Fund invests solely in stocks listed on the TehranStock Exchange, or TSE, and raised EUR66 million in two stages in 2007 and2008, Austen said.

The fund fell short of meeting its initial goal of raising EUR250 millionbut Austen said a possible reduction in tensions between Washington andTehran, and a more investor-friendly environment after Iran's upcomingpresidential elections may allow for a third fund-raising round.

"What's holding back (investors) is the lack of clarity at this point inwhere Iran is headed, where the government is headed and where the economyis headed," he said.

SANCTIONS

In response to Tehran's controversial nuclear power program, the EU andthe U.K. imposed sanctions on Bank Melli on June 23 last year -- five daysafter First Persia's second fund-raising -- to freeze any of the lender'sassets held under EU and U.K. jurisdiction.

The European sanctions make illegal all financial dealings with Bank Melliunder EU and U.K. jurisdiction, including any territorial dependencies.

The U.S. tightened financial sanctions against Iran in 2007, also over theIslamic republic's nuclear ambitions.

Austen said U.S. sanctions haven't had as much impact as sanctions againstBank Melli in Europe, the fund's "natural investor base."

Though the U.K. has since issued a government ruling legalizing any financial dealings with the fund, its association with Bank Melli has madeit difficult for Mehr Cayman "to satisfy compliance departments," Austensaid, adding that Mehr kept its auditors but had to change its bank twice and administrator once since the first fund-raising.

"Being in regulatory compliance and being politically acceptable in acompliance department are two different things," he said.

International political tension and sanctions over Iran's nuclear energy program also helped create a negative "brand name" for the Islamic republic that has been difficult to sell, Austen added.

"The U.S. government worked quite hard to put out the message that they would disapprove of people investing in our fund. That limited our access to subscription," he said.

Iran's rising inflation rate and the government's overspending on populistsocial policies rather than essential industrial investments has also created a discouraging economic environment for potential investors, headded.

Despite the economic and political uncertainty associated with Iran, thefund, which fell 4.7% in 2008, including payment of a 10% cash dividend, outperformed Iran's main TEPIX index, the MSCI Emerging Market Index and the MSCI Arabian Market Index.

"The Iranian currency has been supported with oil revenues, (so) almost any investment in Iran over the last five years has done great. In dollar terms, they've done phenomenally," said Hossein Askari, an economist at George Washington University, who has advised governments in the Persian Gulf.

Austen said the fund's investment philosophy is based on a "search for pricing power" and invests in sectors such as private banks, mining companies and petrochemical companies, which enjoy minimal government intervention in their pricing and cost structures.

First Persia's largest holdings are in Eghtesad-Novin Bank, Isfahan Oil Refining Co., Fanavaran Petrochemical Co., National Iranian Copper Industries Co. and Telecommunication Co. of Iran.

BRANDING

"Most of our money comes from professional pension funds and emerging market specialist fund managers in western Europe, including a regional government pension fund," Austen said, adding that investors from Nordic countries, Singapore and Switzerland, and a United Arab Emiratesinstitution and a Saudi individual, are also on the list.

Austen hopes to tap new investors, including European pension funds, Swissprivate fund management companies, U.K. emerging market fund managers,Arab sovereign wealth funds, and Asian investors in China, Malaysia andSingapore for First Persia's next fundraising.

Apart from an improved political development, much will also depend on aworld economic recovery, renewed investor appetite for risk and an oilprice increase by 50-100%, Austen said.

Iran's privatization program and newly proposed legislation to eliminatefuel, water and electricity subsidies are signs of a progressive "dynamic"in Iran's economy that is "irreversible" and reflect the start of arestructuring in Iran's economy, he said.

However, according to Askari, the current global flight from risk meansinvestors will hesitate to invest in Iran for at least the next two years.Since oil revenues support the Iranian rial, Iran will start to depleteits financial reserves if crude prices -- presently hovering around the$40 a barrel mark -- remain at current levels for the next one to twoyears.

"In Iran, there is a great deal of risk, especially risks over substantialexchange rate movement. Things will get much worse unless oil prices moveback up," Askari said.

-By Roshanak Taghavi, Dow Jones Newswires


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